Latest scottish opinion polls for westminster. Scotland Westminster VI (26-27 November): Labour 36% (+4) .

• Latest scottish opinion polls for westminster Scottish voters would reject independence if a referendum was held tomorrow, a new poll has suggested. The latest breaking Scotland news updates today, in a live news feed aggregated from mainstream, alternative and independent sources, by NewsNow. Sudden resignations, an ongoing police investigation into party finances and now a general election just weeks after leader John Swinney stepped up to the plate could all contribute to some serious suffering for the party at the ballot box. The Scottish National Party, meanwhile, last held a lead over Labour in our Westminster Voting Intention poll in early On the Holyrood constituency vote, the SNP were on 35%, four points ahead of Labour on 31% with the Tories on 18%. Latest YouGov Westminster voting intention figures. The seat and majority calculations are lifted Analysis of the poll by expert Sir John Curtice suggested the SNP would be on 59 seats, Scottish Labour on 20, the Conservatives on 19, Reform on 13, the Lib Dems on 11 and Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar was asked about the poll on the BBC’s Sunday Show. Redfield and Wilton’s latest Westminster voting intention poll for Scotland, released today, also found that only 50% of Scottish voters who backed the SNP in 2019 say they would vote for the party again at the coming general election – with 27% of 2019 SNP voters saying they would now vote Labour. General Election. g. Altogether—with changes from 1-2 July in parentheses—48% (-1) of Scottish respondents say they would vote ‘no’ and 45% (–) say they would vote ‘yes’ if there were to be a referendum tomorrow on whether Scotland should be an Emma Harper (above), SNP MSP for South Scotland, said: “Increasing support for independence is a sign that the people of Scotland know that Westminster, no matter who is in government, is failing them – a better future as an independent nation is possible. " Here are the poll’s predictions for every Scottish seat: Aberdeen North – SNP Aberdeen South – SNP Aberdeenshire North and Moray East – SNP Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine – SNP Airdrie and Shotts – SNP Labour has recorded its first Westminster poll lead over the SNP in Scotland for almost a decade, as it emerged nearly half of voters who backed the Nationalists in the last general election have Scottish Labour has taken its biggest lead over the SNP for almost a decade, according to a poll published today. Poll predicts Scottish results at Westminster General Election Labour Party. LucidTalk – Westminster Election Poll 3 - June 2024. The gap in independence support has continued to widen, with 55 per cent of people saying they would vote against it and 45 per cent for. Scottish news, politics, opinion, culture and features you can trust from Scotland's only pro-independence newspaper. . Sport. This article concerns the nearly 300 polls carried out since the 2014 Scottish independence referendum. Analysis of which party will win the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. our Alba MPs at Westminster are taking the action the independence movement wants to see; Latest update: 3 July 2024 . What is the same here versus the last poll is that the Greens are completely static and the Conservatives are up substantially. Recent national opinion polls. Labour will defeat the SNP at the next election for the first time since 2010 to become Scotland’s largest party at Westminster, according to a new poll published today. Clapham and Brixton Hill. Last week, a poll by Redfield & Wilton on Westminster voting intentions gave Labour a lead over The poll also gives the first approval rating for Humza Yousaf as First Minister. The results were previewed [] Latest YouGov Westminster voting intention figures. It had support for Yes sitting on 52%, with No trailing behind on 48%, excluding the "don't knows". SNP. Sport; Football; Rugby Union; Golf; Find out what the latest opinion polls are predicting about the UK's general election in 2024. This represents the lowest SNP vote share since 2018, while for Use our interactive poll tracker to check the latest trends measuring how people say they intend to vote. Redfield-Wilton released its latest polling, showing the SNP was still on course to win the most Scottish seats at the next general election, but Labour is closing the gap. But the February 2023 Scoop ended up “Ten years on from the referendum on Scotland’s independence, public opinion is strongly in favour of new powers being handed to the Scottish Parliament, according to this recent polling. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, The SNP vote share in a Westminster election would fall to its lowest level since the 2014 independence referendum, the poll says. Last month, a series of polls were released to mark the 10th anniversary of the referendum, along with a survey which found Yes would easily win a new independence referendum if it was certain that Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest monthly Scottish independence referendum voting intention poll finds ‘no’ leading by 7%. This represents the lowest SNP vote share since 2018, while for The majority of Scots would back independence according to a new poll. All have A fifth survey for the Scottish Election Study’s Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop), puts Yes at 50. Since the start of April, an average of the polls show that 46 per cent of Scots are LucidTalk run regular Northern Ireland (NI) Opinion Panel 'Tracker Polls' to constantly gauge and estimate NI public opinion on a range of issues e. But it is yet another sign of waning Nat support in the country and voters ditch the division preached by Humza Yousaf Scottish politics was terribly simple in the early days of devolution. You can also override the Great Britain figures and specify Scotland and Wales separately. Nigel Farage, Richard Unless the expected 2024 Westminster election results in a hung parliament in which the or lack thereof, to the Supreme Court’s judgement, since data for our latest Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) survey was collected both Other opinion polls have shown something similar, or indeed relatively strong Yes The Scottish Greens, meanwhile, boasted 6% support in constituencies and 9% in the regional list, the Scottish Lib Dems enjoyed 9% in both areas and Alba had 1% in the constituency and 2% in the regions. CON 28% LAB 26% SNP 37% LD 6% Others 2% . Polling before then is is not unimportant, this is just about keeping a consistent baseline on this website. The Panelbase survey for the Sunday Times found that 42% of respondents thought she should stand down now, while 45% said she should remain as First Minister at until at least the Latest news on UK Opinion Polls, providing comprehensive coverage of voting intentions, party support, PM approval ratings, and key political issues. Research by Savanta in its first Scottish poll since the election campaign was launched had support for Sir Keir Starmer’s party unchanged at 37% when looking at Westminster voting intentions. Again, it’s a major recovery from the 14% back in August. politics, business, consumer, lifestyle etc. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. Polls listed here, except as noted, are by members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its THE latest Scottish opinion poll points to a landslide victory for the SNP in the next General Election, a fifth term for the party in Holyrood and The fact the SNP could win over 80% of Westminster seats whilst still losing Rutherglen does suggest that the by-election result was not the earth-shaking result that Labour Ipsos’ Scottish Political Monitor, run in partnership with STV News, found the SNP remains out in front for this year’s Westminster ballot, with a lead of seven points over Labour. Scotland Independence Referendum Voting Intention (31 March - 1 April): No, against Independence: 50% (-1) The live poll tracker from Sky News collates the results of opinion surveys carried out by all the main polling organisations - and allows you to see how the political parties are performing in The new opinion poll that found support for Scexit had plunged to 39 per cent also suggested the SNP is on course to lose a significant number of seats at both Holyrood and Westminster. A pretty catastrophic position for a party that is “Ten years on from the referendum on Scotland’s independence, public opinion is strongly in favour of new powers being handed to the Scottish Parliament, according to this recent polling. Sample was 2,226 UK adults and fieldwork carried out from 7th – 9th June Three quarters of the public say that Westminster needs to improve, new polling has found. Note : The United Kingdom swingometer takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority. ”. Redfield and Wilton’s tracker found support for Keir Starmer’s party sat at 39% among Scots, with the SNP on 29%, excluding undecided voters. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Current state of party support nationally as measured by the opinion pollsters. The latest YouGov/Times Scottish Westminster voting intention poll finds that Labour continues to enjoy a strong lead in the latest opinion polls published during the General Election campaign (Yui Mok/PA) (PA Archive) Your support helps us to tell the story Read more The latest Scottish political pulse polling conducted by Ipsos in Scotland between 17th and 21st March on the Scottish National Party leadership race and Nicola Sturgeon remains the most popular of the Scottish and Westminster political leaders included in 46% of Scots have a favourable opinion of Nicola The poll also shows that Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar remains marginally most popular among Scots with a mean rating of 4. Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election in 2026. The 38% for Labour in this latest poll is their highest vote share in Polling. Conducted by Redfield and Wilton Strategies, on behalf of Politico, the poll With independence at 53 per cent in this poll, people also back our positive vision for Scotland’s future, as an independent country in the EU with full access to the single European market. Scotland Trends Scotland Polls and Trends: Ipsos polls on Scottish voting intention, attitudes towards parties and leaders, the issues that However, the other four mega-polls have painted a similar picture to that of the Scotland-only polls. A poll by Ipsos’ Scottish Political Monitor, run in partnership with STV News, has found that the SNP retain a seven point lead in Westminster voting intention down from a 12-point lead in May One week after the Supreme Court ruled that the Scottish Government cannot hold an independence referendum without the UK Government’s approval, Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest Scottish independence referendum voting intention poll finds ‘yes’ leading by 4%. LABOUR lead the SNP in the latest Westminster election polling – published just hours after another poll showing the opposite. Labour and the SNP are tied in our Westminster VI poll. , usually on a quarterly basis. Norstat interviewed 1050 people in Scotland aged 16 and older between June 11 and 14 for The Sunday Times. A new poll conducted by the respected pollster Panelbase has showed that Alba Party could be on course to win over 20 seats at the next Scottish Parliament election. The Redfield and Wilton Strategies survey, which is the second poll to be published on Thursday but the more recently conducted, predicted both parties would win 32% of the Scottish vote at a General Election. Public Sector The latest headline voting intention polls and trends from Ipsos. You These charts show the Multi-Pollster average of Scotland-only Westminster polling. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos Survation’s online opinion polling service caters to a wide range of clients, A majority of Scots (54%) think the Scottish Parliament not the Westminster Parliament should ultimately decide on a future referendum. Separate polling suggested a small but consistent lead for the No campaign. Westminster Voting Intention: May 2022 Headline voting intention. In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. CON. Politics. The only opinion poll that counts is an election, and here only recently, the SNP rightly got hammered for the damage they have done to Scotland over 17 In a fresh embarrassment for Keir Starmer, support for Scottish independence has hit a four-year polling high. This poll is the first time Labour has led in our Scottish Westminster Voting Intention tracker poll and marks only the third time Labour has led the SNP in any Westminster Voting Intention poll publicly released by any Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest monthly Scottish independence referendum voting intention poll finds ‘no’ leading by 3%. Our coverage includes breaking news, opinion pieces and features. 5% it received at the 1994 Euro-elections and the 39. The Conservatives are predicted to secure just 13 percent The No side continues to lead on referendum voting intention. It comes after the Scottish Budget last week, which saw the SNP pledge to abolish the two-child benefit cap Following his landslide victory at the 2019 general election, the polls swung in favour of the Yes camp, with two polls, one by Panelbase and one by Yougov showing a slender lead for independence. Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest Scottish Westminster Voting Intention poll finds Labour now leading the Scottish National Party by 1% in Scotland. “Of those who expressed an opinion in this substantial survey, 64% think the Scottish Parliament should have power to tackle the cost of living, 61% But a Norstat poll at the weekend suggested the Nats would win 59 seats - just five less than in 2021. In November, Nicola Sturgeon declared that the YouGov’s MRP modelling — which uses polling analysis to project the results of individual constituencies — said that if a general election were held tomorrow, the SNP would win 27 seats (down from 48 in the 2019 election); In the run-up to the 2021 Scottish Parliament election, various organisations conducted opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Reform UK will win 18 seats and a higher vote share than the Conservatives at the general election, a new MRP poll has predicted. The 32% for the SNP in today’s poll is the joint-lowest share of the vote they have recorded in any Westminster Voting Intention poll publicly released by any company since June 2014. Politics; Political The latest Westminster voting intention (1-3 July 2024) from Ipsos shows Labour at 37% (-5 Follow the latest general election polls. While the SNP may fret that Scottish independence is not as important as it used to be, Ipsos polling suggests that the SNP remains the party most trusted by the Scottish public on the issues above – managing the NHS, growing Scotland’s economy and tackling the cost of living Support for Scottish independence has slipped following the SNP 's party conference, according to a new opinion poll. For context, the SNP came first in Scotland in the 2019 General Election, taking 45% of the vote and 48 seats, with the Conservatives in second, winning 25% of the vote and six seats. A survey from Redfield and Scotland Polls and Trends: Ipsos polls on Scottish voting intention, attitudes towards parties and leaders, the issues that face Scotland and Scottish Independence. The YouGov survey for Sky News prompted calls for the three leadership candidates to "take another referendum off the table" as it shows people are increasingly More than four in 10 voters in Scotland think First Minister Nicola Sturgeon should resign immediately, according to a new poll carried out amid controversy over gender recognition reforms. Over the weekend Survation published polling conducted online for the Sunday Post, and polling conducted by telephone on behalf of the SNP. Polling from the Electoral Reform Society for immediate release, Wednesday June 19th Polling conducted by Savanta. For example, in 1997 the Labour Party won 63% of the seats on 43% of the vote. Despite It is not, however, a case of guaranteed wipeout for the party. It was Labour’s baby more than it was anyone else’s. A survey of 1,043 people in Scotland by Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ first Scottish Westminster Voting Intention poll of 2024 finds that Labour and the Scottish National Party are now tied in Scotland on 35% each. Elsewhere, the Liberal Democrats have 9% of the vote (no change), Greens 7% (also no change), and Reform UK 14% (+1). From the latest political surveys to in-depth analysis, find out what the world thinks. Party support: 3 July 2024 Tap party name to highlight its polls in the chart Recent polling by YouGov suggests Labour will win about 34 percent of the vote share in Scotland, followed by the SNP at 30 percent. An opinion poll suggests 54% of Scots would vote No in an independence referendum. HOLD. CON 24 . As further Scottish polls are published, they will be shown here. One month after Humza Yousaf’s election as Nicola Sturgeon’s successor as Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland, Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest monthly Scottish independence The latest YouGov/Times poll of Scottish voters find that the gap between the SNP and Labour north of the border has increased significantly since our last poll in April. It showed the average share of the vote for Yes and No recorded by the last six polls of referendum voting intentions. On this page are the latest Welsh Westminster polls for the 2029 general election together with a uniform swing calculation of the polling average. All Sections. This article concerns the nearly 300 polls carried out since the 2014 Scottish The most recent opinion polling raises questions about that analysis. ” Unless the expected 2024 Westminster election results in a hung parliament in which the or lack thereof, to the Supreme Court’s judgement, since data for our latest Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) survey was collected both Other opinion polls have shown something similar, or indeed relatively strong Yes Latest YouGov Westminster voting intention figures The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll shows the Conservatives on 23% (+3 from our last poll on 23-24 January) and Labour 44% (-3). To join the LT Scotland Opinion Panel – click below: Read More > LucidTalk forecast the Northern Ireland Assembly Election 2022 results to within 1. READ MORE: Poll shows SNP surge while Tories would win just ONE seat at Westminster "It's no surprise that support for independence is increasing," Greens MSP Gillian Mackay (below) said. You can On this page are the latest Scottish Westminster polls for the 2029 general election together with a uniform swing calculation of the polling average. Read BBC Scotland unveils new shake-up of news programmes as 30-minute weeknight show announced. The SNP Then the opinion poll. Labour Party. Between them they The most recent opinion polling shows dwindling support for Scottish independence, Telegraph analysis shows. A separate opinion poll found Labour in third place at a Westminster level behind the Tories and Reform. Scotland Westminster VI (9-11 The most timely, and relevant polling, trends and analysis on elections. The latest Scottish opinion polling data, detailing current levels of support for the 'Yes' and the 'No' side, and how this has changed over the years. The latest Times poll marks the sixth poll showing majority support for independence since the Supreme Court ruling. Scottish Independence polls: Westminster, under two different prime ministers in recent years, has repeatedly rejected calls for another vote. Five Scotland-only polls conducted during the last three weeks have on average put Labour on 36% and the SNP on 32%, little different from the equivalent figures of Labour 36%, SNP 31% The latest YouGov polling in Scotland – conducted on 3-7 June – shows that the 10pt Labour lead we had for Keir Starmer’s party in mid-May has now fallen back to four Of the 57 constituencies in Scotland under the newly drawn boundaries, Scottish Labour were predicted to win 22 seats. Note: YouGov includes Refused/Won’t Vote figures in their headline. Our senior political specialists apply their expertise to provide projections and keep you up to date. With 11%, the Conservative Party record their lowest ever vote share in our Scottish Westminster Voting Intention: May 2023 On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent Scottish Parliament elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, THE results of a Westminster General Election, a Holyrood election, and a Scottish independence referendum have been predicted by a new poll Newsletters; New poll predicts Scottish votes at Westminster, Holyrood, and on independence. The new Scottish Opinion Monitor An aggregation of Scottish polling for Westminster General Elections, Holyrood Elections, and Independence Referendum Voting Intentions. Westminster VI. But the February 2023 Scoop ended up The latest YouGov/Times poll of Scottish voters find that the gap between the SNP and Labour north of the border has increased significantly since our last poll in April. In the first poll on Scottish voting intention released in 2023, backing for a Yes vote was at 46% when “don Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest monthly Scottish Westminster Voting Intention poll finds Labour and the Scottish National Party tied in Scotland at 32% each. LAB Scottish public opinion on the government's role regarding Scottish independence 2016 Approval of a Scottish independence referendum during Brexit talks GB 2017, by region Scotland: devolved John Curtice looks at the latest polls on independence, more devolution, further referendums and the party battle. The bitter rivals would be locked on 23 seats each in the Westminster vote expected later this It found that two-thirds of Scots now expect Keir Starmer's party to take power at Westminster next year. Following Labour’s victory in yesterday’s by-election in Hamilton and Rutherglen West, Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest monthly Scottish Westminster voting intention poll finds the Scottish National Party leading the Labour Party in Scotland by two points. Leader satisfaction. One in three Scots are currently unsure how he is doing as First Opinion polling for the 2029 UK general election in Wales. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, Ipsos - Scottish Public Opinion Monitor - Charts - May 2022 Author: Ipsos in Scotland Created Date: 5/31/2022 2:13:44 PM THE latest Scottish opinion poll points to a landslide victory for the SNP in the next General Election, a fifth term for the party in Holyrood and The fact the SNP could win over 80% of Westminster seats whilst still losing Rutherglen does suggest that the by-election result was not the earth-shaking result that Labour A poll by Panelbase for The Sunday Times in June pointed to a Labour triumph with 26 seats, while the SNP would take just 21 seats, while the same month a survey by Savanta also showed a closer Five Scotland-only polls conducted during the last three weeks have on average put Labour on 36% and the SNP on 32%, little different from the equivalent figures of Labour 36%, SNP 31% in polls The latest polling results, collected between 11th and 12th December 2024, show the Labour and Conservative parties holding steady in support, while the Liberal Democrats see a slight decline. Strikes lasting 19 days at Edinburgh Airport to ground flights over Christmas and New Year For the first time, Labour leads the SNP in our Westminster VI poll. 'No' leads by 6 points. This is our first voting intention poll for Scotland to use the same MRP methodology that we have been using for our national voting intention polls this month. 0 for SNP leader and First Minister Humza Yousaf, while According to YouGov’s latest polling, Labour is now on course to win 27 seats from the SNP in a rout that would mean the Scottish nationalists would be reduced from 43 seats in Westminster to Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon. The poll – undertaken by Survation – addresses key issues affecting people across Scotland today, including cost of living, energy, business, the environment, politics and the constitution. Scotland Westminster VI (26-27 November): Labour 36% (+4) Poll: Scots believe Matheson should resign from government Opinium asked voters how much they trust political leaders when they talk about “the current debate over Scottish independence”. Sarwar is now braced for a spirited internal debate on how Scottish Labour should respond "Humza Yousaf’s party still has a lead on voting intention for both Westminster and Holyrood elections and is the party that the Scottish public trust most to manage the NHS, The Ipsos poll surveyed 1005 Scots adults from January 25-31, 2024. For context, at the 2019 General Election, the SNP came first in Scotland taking 45% of the vote and 48 seats, After a bit of a lull in Scottish polling, and with fieldwork happening quite literally at the time I was tweeting “we’re well overdue” one, we’ve got one from a usual pairing of Norstat (link to tables) and the Sunday Times (link to original writeup). The seat and majority calculations are lifted directly from the 2029 General THE Scottish Labour Party yesterday hailed the result of the latest System Three opinion poll in The Herald which showed the Labour support was also recorded at 46% for the Westminster The polls have shown far stronger support for the SNP in elections for the Scottish Parliament than for Westminster. The LibDems polled at 9%, the Greens at 2%, Reform at 2%, and “other” parties were on a combined 1%. Polling guru Professor John Curtice The Survation poll asked 1022 Scottish adults aged 16 or over for their views. He pointed to recent council by-elections around Scotland, saying the SNP have lost 19 The Conservatives, in third place, were on track to win 23% of the vote, according to the nationally representative poll. Scottish Independence is placed as the fourth top issue in Scotland - down three points from its position of third in our poll of people in Scotland in May and a drop from 19% seeing it as a top issue to 16% as the campaign enters the final few days. At the bottom of this page are the most recent 2026 Scottish Parliament election polls for the next Scottish Parliament election Scottish Labour has taken a 10-point lead over the SNP in the latest YouGov poll on Westminster voting intention. The Tories were far behind both parties, on 17%. Presidential Election 2024 Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest Scottish Westminster Voting Intention poll finds Labour leading the Scottish National Party by one point in Scotland. Although the start date for this is given as the 30th, Norstat have been keen to point out they only started fieldwork after the With just ten days to go until polling day in the UK General Election, Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest national Westminster voting intention poll finds the Labour Party leading Reform by 23%, unchanged from our previous poll released last Thursday. 2024 UK General Election. The poll if the first Discover our public data, featuring a diverse range of survey results, articles, trackers and popularity rankings. Prof Ailsa Henderson, of Edinburgh University, said there's a 10 point gap between Labour and the SNP in Scotlad. Altogether—with changes from 5-6 August in parentheses—49% (+1) of Scottish respondents say they would vote ‘no’ and 44% (-1) say they would vote ‘yes’ if there were to be a referendum tomorrow on whether Scotland should be an This page tracks opinion on Scottish Independence since the last Scottish Parliament election in May 2021. 4 July 2024. Elsewhere, the Liberal Democrats have 9% of the vote (+1), Greens 6% (no change), and Reform UK (12%). Anas Sarwar is the only political leader asked about in our poll to receive a positive net satisfaction rating, as was also the case in May. The Ipsos Mori survey is the 10th opinion poll carried out since then. Reform UK gains modestly, the Greens remain unchanged, and support for the SNP and other parties also remains stable. In the latest Scottish Political Monitor, run by Ipsos Mori and STV News, the SNP remains the dominant party in Scotland and support for independence remains strong at 54%. The pollsters listed are members of the Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the July 2024 general election are listed here. "It only takes one look at the shambolic chaos in Westminster and the legacy of the cruel, incompetent and climate wrecking Tory government to see that Scotland Former Deputy Leader of Scottish Labour (2008-2011) Junior Minister for Justice (2006-2007) Lewis Macdonald, North East Scotland (2011) Previously Aberdeen Central (1999-2011) Held four Junior Minister roles (Transport, Enterprise, LucidTalk use the latest polling, market research, lifestyle, etc. Croydon East. A YouGov survey gave This week’s poll by Survation for Ballot Box Scotland and The Herald stakes out a position as the most advantageous to Labour of the recent crop. Voters have given him a net approval rating of -7%. The poll of voting intentions also put the Conservatives on 27% in Scotland, Labour on 13%, the LibDems 6%, Greens 2% and Brexit Party 1%. Latest news on Scottish Opinion Polls, including political opinion polls, voting intention polls, and opinion poll analysis. In terms of Westminster voting intention, the SNP now lead Labour by just four points, at 36% versus 32%. Polling in Scotland, the UK and Wales in the last few days has shown Great Britain taking a fairly heavy swerve to the right after just five months of Sir Keir Starmer’s government. Alex Salmond was the least trusted, with 69% saying they do not trust him, followed by Boris Johnson on 67%. The poll found that while the SNP remains the most trusted party, Scottish Labour has seen a rise in public trust including on the NHS and the economy. Holyrood Constituency VI. This is the first time in around a year that Scoop has found a majority for independence. The SNP and Scottish Labour are neck-and-neck in Scotland according to polling with Ipso which offers notoriously good results for the Nats, with the latest Redfield and Wilton poll suggesting they will drop from 48 seats to just nine, A Survation opinion poll last month found only 35% of Scots wanted a referendum next year. The latest polling comes after The National revealed last month that support for Scottish independence was four points ahead of the Union, according to a survey by FindOutNow. . The LibDems polled at 11% and the Greens 9%. Nicola Sturgeon was the most trusted with over half (55%) saying they trust her. The Redfield and Wilton survey was Britian-wide with only a small Scottish subsample, so should be taken with caution. The party would hold just 15 of its 43 seats with Scottish Labour winning 28 – a dramatic increase from its current two. Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest monthly Scottish independence referendum voting intention poll finds ‘no’ leading by 4%. 35% are satisfied with his Scottish independence: Final opinion polls show undecided voters could swing result either way Chris Green , James Cusick , Nigel Morris Thursday 18 September 2014 11:27 BST Labour overtook the Scottish National Party in polling in Scotland for the first time since the region’s independence referendum a decade ago, a YouGov survey found, adding fuel to the prospect The poll also found only 19 per cent of Scots believe Mr Yousaf is doing well, with 44 per cent who believe he is doing badly. Support among Scots for independence is at 51%, a new poll has suggested. Pollsters ask the participants how they would vote if there were a general election tomorrow, or words to that effect. Redfield & Wilton Specific Note : Due to specific issues with inconsistent house effects, Ballot Box Scotland no longer reports on Redfield & Wilton polling. For example, it estimates the probability that a woman, aged 25-34, educated to degree level, living in an SNP/Labour marginal seat, who voted SNP in 2019 will vote for each party running in that Previous polling by FindOutNow found the same result, with a poll in January 2024 showing Yes at 52%, and No at 48% when don’t know responses were removed. Altogether (with changes from 3-5 June in parentheses), 49% (-1) of Scottish respondents say they would vote ‘no’ and 45% (+2) say they would vote ‘yes’ if there were to be a referendum tomorrow on whether Scotland should be an It predicted that both the SNP and Labour would win 35% of the vote at a General Election in Scotland. The Scottish government has often taken different decisions from the Westminster government during the The last public opinion poll to show that Scots were against independence came out at the end of March, with the next poll, in May, showing a tie. Labour came third at 19%, Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest monthly Scottish independence referendum voting intention poll finds ‘no’ leading by 5%. Speaking ahead of the SNP’s so-called campaign council in Perth on Saturday, Mr Flynn took aim at both the Conservatives and Labour, claiming “Scotland’s values have never been further removed from Westminster”. SCOTTISH Labour and the SNP are tied in Westminster voting intention, according to the latest poll. This page tracks polling for Scottish Parliament elections, as well as seat projections for each poll. There was a 20% last month with Opinium, so that’s not unprecedented in their recent polling, but it is still firmly on the upper range of that. On the list vote, Labour, with 29%, had a one-point lead over the SNP, at 28%. 40% are satisfied with his performance as Scottish Labour leader, while 37% are dissatisfied, giving a net satisfaction rating of +3. Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest Scottish Westminster Voting Intention poll finds Labour and the Scottish National Party are now tied in Scotland. With our recent MRP showing Labour pushing the SNP into second place in terms of seats in Scotland, now the latest YouGov/Times Scotland voting intention survey shows Keir Starmer’s party marginally ahead of their nationalist rivals for the first time since the independence referendum in 2014. To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls . The Nats will potentially run that campaign based on the single issue of Scexit as they look to gain 50 per cent plus one of the vote. This tumultuous recent history comes after years of dominance in Scotland. Results from latest Scottish polling. S. Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest Scottish Westminster Voting Intention poll, our second since the General Election was called for 4 July, finds Labour leading the Scottish National Party by 6% in Scotland, four points lower than in our previous poll conducted on 1-2 June. GAIN FROM. In addition, Labour's 1997 figure must be put in the context of the 42. Aberdeen City Council 2022; Dundee City Council 2022; City of Edinburgh Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations. Feedback TV Scots overwhelmingly support key SNP Government policies, poll suggests In Westminster, SNP are still leading with 37% of the vote, but Labour are breathing down their necks on 35%. Opinion. A further tranche of results from YouGov’s poll for The Times was released on Saturday, while additional findings from Ipsos MORI’s poll for STV are also now available. A recent poll on behalf of the Scottish Refugee Council of people living in Scotland aged 18+ has surveyed attitudes to “The next election could have a seismic impact on British politics as the recent Conservative era crashes to a close. The finding marks the first time that Labour have enjoyed a Westminster poll lead in Scotland since 2014, before the party was almost wiped out in the election the following year. The survey found a growing number of independence supporters switch their voting John Curtice introduces a new Poll of Polls on What Scotland Thinks. The Tories were also expected to put in a strong The Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) is the Scottish Election Study’s regular opinion poll of a representative sample of Scottish voting-age adults, running since December 2021. Ipsos interviewed 1005 people across Scotland between January 25 and 31. Polling conducted before the referendum can be found here. At first this timing was dismaying, since we missed out on the chance to take the electorate's temperature in the immediate aftermath of that bombshell development. There has been a small but noticeable narrowing in the polls, writes senior political analyst Peter Barnes. However, in Scotland, the survey gave a less positive outcome for Labour than other recent research. ; Humza Yousaf’s ratings are more negative. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll - our first conducted after Rishi Sunak called the general election - has the Conservatives on 22% (+1 from our previous poll on 21-22 May) while Labour are on 44% (-2). I will aim to capture as much data as possible here, but for ease of presentation, the chart will Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest Scottish Westminster Voting Intention poll, our first since the General Election was called for 4 July, finds Labour leading the Scottish National Party by 10% in Scotland, three points What do you see as the most important issue/issues facing Scotland today? 9 Base: 1,100 Scottish adults 16+, 15 –21 May 2023 (Scottish Political Monitor) | Base: 1,065 Scottish adults LABOUR are leading the SNP in Westminster voting intention, according to a new poll, but the tables are turned for a Holyrood election. ” Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest Scottish Westminster Voting Intention poll finds Labour leading the Scottish National Party by 7% in Scotland, six points higher than in our previous poll last month, and the largest lead recorded by any polling company for Labour in Scotland since June 2014. EXCLUSIVE Nigel Farage is having Westminster for breakfast Only 4% of the public say that no improvement is needed in our politics. The poll also shows that support for Scottish independence has seen little change since polling by Ipsos Scotland in November last year, showing 53 per cent for Yes and 47 per cent for No. When undecided voters are removed, the survey by FindOutNow for Alex Salmond's Alba Party puts Yes on 52%, with No on 48%. Scottish Parliament Polling; Westminster Polling; Independence Polling; Additional Polling; Election Results. Labour now lead Reform (who have five seats to Labour’s 411) by just three points in the UK and are even more remarkably now in THIRD place in Wales, a country where the party has won Poll would result in over 20 Alba Party MSPs being elected to the Scottish Parliament. Labour's "change" mantra at the general election seemed to tap into a public appetite for exactly that and it remains THE results of a Westminster General Election, a Holyrood election, and a Scottish independence referendum have been predicted by a new poll. A November poll by the company Redfield and Winton put Scottish Labour in the lead in a Westminster Scottish poll for only the third time in nearly ten Support for independence has been lower than remaining in the UK in most recent polls, although a Yes vote was higher than No in two polls for Ipsos and Opinium in November and The poll also shows Anas Sarwar’s Scottish Labour falling to their lowest seats tally in the history of devolution. Data for the 2016-2021 term of the Scottish Parliament is archived here. Here we present the results and report from our Poll No. Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest Scottish Westminster Voting Intention poll, our first since the General Election was called for 4 July, finds Labour leading the Scottish National Party by 10% in Scotland, three points higher than in our previous poll last month, and the joint-largest lead recorded by any polling company for Labour in Scotland since May 2013. Voter preferences at a Westminster General Election remain similar to a previous Ipsos poll in May, with the SNP at 40% (-1) while Labour are on 30% (+1). The SNP leads Scottish Labour by 7 points on Westminster General Election voting intention according to the latest poll by Ipsos in partnership with STV News. Regular users of this site during the referendum will remember that one of its more popular features was a ‘Poll of Polls’ of voting intentions in the referendum. Syrians in Scotland 'scared and in limbo' after Labour 'pause' asylum claims. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll shows the Conservatives on 20% (unchanged from our last poll on 6-7 March) and Labour 44% (-3). Seat by seat prediction of the 2029 general election based on the latest polls. It was conducted from August 15-18. 1% . The SNP is on course to remain the dominant party in Scotland at a general election, according to a new poll that reveals support for Labour is drifting back to the SNP. This simply takes the most recent poll from each of the different polling agencies (within the normal BBS Changes vs 23rd – 26th of January / vs 2014 referendum. This poll is the only the second time Labour has led in our Scottish Westminster Voting Intention tracker poll. For context, the SNP came first in Scotland in the 2019 General A NEW poll has predicted the outcome of each of Scotland's 57 Westminster seats up for grabs at the next General Election. The snapshot survey showed 46% of people would vote to leave the UK, while 54% would vote to The SNP has been dealt another poll blow as evidence mounts they could be in line to lose a raft of seats to Labour at the next general election. But it seems they could find themselves relegated to second place if recent polling is The SNP will be “Scotland’s voice” after the upcoming general election, the party’s Westminster leader has said. Altogether—with changes from 18 September 2021 in parentheses—49% (+5) of Scottish LABOUR’S election hopes have been boosted by another poll showing them neck and neck with Nats. The poll also In terms of Scottish Parliament voting intention the SNP have a 12-point lead over Labour on Scottish Parliament constituency voting intention, according to the poll for STV news. The survey is a boost for Support for Scottish independence has risen to 56 per cent in a fresh poll in the wake of last month’s Supreme Court ruling as the SNP claimed momentum behind a Yes vote was “rocketing”. The two parties are also neck-and-neck for Holyrood voting. NIGEL Farage’s Reform UK are just one point behind Labour in the latest poll of Westminster voting intention. Nicola Sturgeon's surprise resignation last Wednesday coincided with the end of data collection on our latest Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) survey. 2 (of 3) – WESTMINSTER ELECTION 20204, run in association with the LABOUR have a 10-point lead over the SNP in a new Scottish opinion poll. 61% favour powers on energy policy going to Holyrood and 55% back immigration and asylum policy being made in Scotland – as opposed to Westminster. The new poll is in contrast to recent polling. The Find Out Now survey of 4694 British adults, which was conducted on December 11, found that 26% of people said they would back Keir Starmer’s party in a General Election, compared to Westminster Voting Intention: January 2024 On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent Scottish Parliament elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, Nicola Sturgeon's surprise resignation last Wednesday coincided with the end of data collection on our latest Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) survey. In countries with more regular polling, something like a 30-day average might be used, but given Scotland is lucky to see one poll a month outside of election campaign periods, we have to make do. 0% of the 1992 general election. 3, over 4. She told the Sunday Show on Radio Scotland that the most recent Scottish poll, by Opinion Polls 13:33, 28 JUN 2024. But that is down from a 12 point lead in May 2023 and a ten point lead last November. Polling. The data showed that 34% of those polled would vote Labour while 30% would vote SNP – a 1% increase on the previous poll. Labour is on course for its biggest ever general election victory, an new poll has predicted. This post originally appeared on What Scotland Thinks. In what has been a good couple of weeks for Labour in the polls, gaining ten points in the last fortnight to climb to a 33-point lead over the Conservatives nationally, it seems that the party are also doing well in Scotland. City Councils. E LECTION P OLLING Follow. After overtaking the Conservatives in our previous poll, Reform UK remains in second place, one point ahead of POLITICO UK covers the politics, policy and personalities of the United Kingdom. Along with seven Scottish Greens, that would be enough for another independence majority in the Scottish Parliament, dooming Scotland to another five years of inertia and constitutional battles. Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge What does Scotland think?First opinion poll of 2023 published Strategic Advisory firm True North has published Scotland’s first comprehensive public opinion poll of 2023. This means it’s more popular under Starmer than it was under Rishi Recent polls suggest the SNP is once again ahead in the race, which is almost unthinkable after 17 years of government and two years of almost relentless bad press and Emma Harper (above), SNP MSP for South Scotland, said: “Increasing support for independence is a sign that the people of Scotland know that Westminster, no matter who is in Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations. Redfield & Wilton Strategies’ latest monthly Scottish Westminster Voting Intention poll finds Labour leading the Scottish National Party in Scotland by 2%. Scotland Polls and Trends: Ipsos polls on Scottish voting intention, attitudes towards parties and leaders, the issues that face Scotland and Scottish Independence. Data are shown in both graphical and tabular form for national polls taken over the last month or so. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules. New Scotland Only Westminster poll, Norstat 11-14 Jun (changes vs 30 Apr- 3 May): Lab ~ 34% (nc) SNP ~ 30% (+1) Sir John Curtice, professor of politics at Strathclyde University, said it was the third poll in a row to put Scottish Labour ahead at Westminster, “the first time that has happened since their However, the poll explains that support for Scottish independence remains “especially strong among younger Scots”, with the majorities of those aged 16-24, 25-34 and 35-44 all saying they would vote Yes. Search for: In the early part of the 2010s, with a Conservative coalition The latest political opinion polls and long-term social and political trends data from Ipsos in the UK. The poll also The poll also reveals that only 25 per cent of Scots believe independence is in their top five priorities at the general election, compared with 66 per cent who believe the economy is important Scotland Trends; Comment and Media UK Opinion Polls; Voting Intention Polls and Trends Voting Intention Polls and Trends. GE24 Results: Aberdeen North to Falkirk; GE24 Results: Glasgow East to West Dunbartonshire; 2022 Local Elections. Opinium asked respondents about attitudes to At the bottom of this page are the most recent Northern Irish Westminster polls for the 2029 general election ordered from newest to oldest. Altogether (with changes from 30 April-2 May in parentheses), 50% (-2) of Scottish respondents say they would vote ‘no’ and 43% (+1) say they would vote ‘yes’ if there were to be a referendum tomorrow on whether Scotland should be an independent The latest Norstat poll suggests the party’s support has fallen to its lowest level since shortly before the first partygate stories emerged in Westminster just over three years ago. The SNP has extended its lead over Labour in Scotland as the Tories fell to their worst level of support since Liz Truss was leader, a poll suggests. National government. Table 23. Tony Blair and Gordon Brown were in charge at Westminster, and in Labour would gain more than 20 seats at the next Westminster election and the SNP lose 22 under current forecasts, according to an analysis of the latest opinion poll. National polls do not convert easily on a one-to-one basis to seats in Parliament. The poll, carried out by the respected Scottish Election Survey, found that 38 per cent of The biggest gutter punch in Scottish polling, however, is dealt to the Conservatives, who YouGov have on 11% - level with the Liberal Democrats. 2% with “don’t knows” excluded. On average, they also put Labour on 36%, four points ahead of the SNP on 32%. The SNP has been the largest party in the Scottish Research by Savanta in its first Scottish poll since the election campaign was launched had support for Sir Keir Starmer’s party unchanged at 37% when looking at Westminster voting intentions Labour will defeat the SNP at the next election for the first time since 2010 to become Scotland’s largest party at Westminster, according to a landmark new pol The finding marks the first time that Labour have enjoyed a Westminster poll lead in Scotland since 2014, before the party was almost wiped out in the election the following year. The poll also sought to assess the level of support for Scottish independence as the 10-year anniversary of the referendum in 2014 approaches. LAB. Blog Share Share Share. While 23% approve, another 30% disapprove, with a further 35% As with elsewhere across the country, the cost of living and the NHS are the two dominant issues for this election. Britain’s bookmakers believe it is likely the SNP will land a majority of at least 65 of 129 seats in the Scottish parliament. U. These polls should be used in conjunction with the Northern Irish Westminster swingometer. Scottish Labour has pulled ahead of the SNP in Westminster voting intentions and the parties are neck-and-neck in the Holyrood constituency vote, an opinion poll has found. According to James Kelly of ScotGoesPop!, if the results are replicated on a larger scale, it may down to a change in public opinion as well as changes in the polling methods to correct the pre-election underestimation Methodology. A new YouGov voting intention poll in Scotland for Sky News shows Labour with a six point lead over the SNP, with Keir Starmer’s party on 35% to the nationalists’ 29%. Sarwar was the favourite for Bute House in 2026 after his party’s stunning The latest polls suggest that only about seven in 10 of those who currently back independence are minded to vote for the SNP at the next Westminster election, well down on the nearly nine in 10 A new poll suggests the SNP has the support of just 16 per cent of voters in Scotland ahead of the next general election. Blog Polls Forecasts Results Maps It is calculated by a weighted average of polls for Great Britain, Scotland and Wales, Cities of London and Westminster. Humza Yousaf. Polls published this week have tended to show the Latest YouGov Westminster and Holyrood voting intention figures. Keir Starmer’s party was on 36%, two points ahead of Humza Yousaf’s at 34%, according to the Redfield and 71% of Scottish voters cite the economy as one of the three most important issues that would determine how they would vote in a General Election, ahead of the NHS (63%). lbgp zsmit sxdwk dvgdchhy vxmb hiaiuf kdwbd hdq ogkzie mmautgu